1
MediumMalik Willis
QB · Starting quarterback
17.9
projected points
10.4–26.5
scenario range
30 attempts · 7 rushes
214 pass yds · 1.3 pass TD · 39 rush yds
Efficient 2025 spot duty, expanded to a new full-time role
Fantasy Insights
A current-week Dolphins projection board, explainable model insights, and the franchise's notable fantasy seasons across Standard, Half-PPR, and PPR scoring.
17.9
top Week 1 projection (Half-PPR)
Week 1 outlook
Top Dolphins fantasy projections
Point estimates for at Las Vegas Raiders on Sep 13. These rank Miami players only, not the full NFL player pool.
Half-PPRUpdated September 8, 2026
Roles checked against the September 8 roster and official depth chart. Week 1 game-status designations are not yet available in the structured feed.
2
HighDe'Von Achane
RB · Offensive centerpiece
17.5
projected points
10.9–26.6
scenario range
15 carries · 5 targets
78 rush yds · 4.2 rec · 32 rec yds
2025 production and a featured role on the September 7 roster
3
MediumMalik Washington
WR · Movement receiver
9.3
projected points
4.7–15.1
scenario range
6 targets · 1 designed run
8 rush yds · 4.1 rec · 49 rec yds
2025's 65 targets plus a larger post-Waddle opportunity
4
MediumJalen Tolbert
WR · Boundary receiver
8.9
projected points
4.1–15.0
scenario range
6 targets
3.8 rec · 52 rec yds
Veteran role and limited 2025 Dallas sample; listed behind Chris Bell on the Week 1 depth chart
5
MediumJaylen Wright
RB · Change-of-pace back
6.8
projected points
2.9–11.7
scenario range
8 carries · 2 targets
37 rush yds · 1.4 rec · 10 rec yds
2025 reserve usage behind Achane with room for a modest increase
6
MediumGreg Dulcich
TE · Primary receiving tight end
6.4
projected points
2.9–10.9
scenario range
5 targets
3.0 rec · 38 rec yds
335 yards in nine 2025 games and the clearest veteran TE role
7
LowOllie Gordon II
RB · Short-yardage back
5.4
projected points
1.6–10.5
scenario range
7 carries · 1 target
28 rush yds · 0.8 rec · 6 rec yds
2025 depth usage with touchdown-dependent weekly value
8
LowCaleb Douglas
WR · Rookie size target
5.2
projected points
1.8–9.9
scenario range
4 targets
2.2 rec · 30 rec yds
First-team listing on the issued chart; no NFL regular-season baseline yet
9
LowWill Kacmarek
TE · Rookie inline tight end
3.1
projected points
0.9–6.4
scenario range
3 targets
1.5 rec · 16 rec yds
Projected rotational role; no NFL regular-season baseline yet
How the projection model works
The model converts expected passing, rushing, and receiving stat lines with the same scoring formula used by the historical table. Its baseline is nflverse 2025 player stats plus Miami's 2026 roster roles.
Matchup adjustment: Neutral until the 2026 opponent sample is meaningful. The bands widen for new roles, small samples, and rookies. These are hand-curated opportunity estimates, not calibrated probability intervals, sportsbook lines or official rankings. Confidence describes the evidence for a role, not the chance of landing inside the range.
Explainable output
Generated weekly insights
Generated from the projection inputs above—no hidden AI opinion or proprietary ranking feed.
Model leader
Malik Willis sets the Week 1 pace
17.9 projected Half-PPR points with a 10.4–26.5 scenario range. His expected rushing production raises the floor beyond the passing line.
Built-in floor
Willis can create points without a passing touchdown
5.7 of his point estimate comes from expected rushing production. That dual-threat layer matters while Miami's rebuilt receiving hierarchy settles.
Reception edge
De'Von Achane gains the most from Half-PPR
4.2 projected catches add 2.1 points versus Standard scoring. Malik Willis remains the widest-range Miami option this week.
Franchise archive
Historical fantasy seasons
Curated notable seasons; positional finishes are approximate where shown.
Showing 80 of 80
| Dan Marino | 1984 | QB | 360.7 | 22.5 | 16 | QB1 | 1980s |
| Dan Marino | 1985 | QB | 241.1 | 15.1 | 16 | QB2 | 1980s |
| Dan Marino | 1986 | QB | 319.5 | 20.0 | 16 | QB1 | 1980s |
| Dan Marino | 1988 | QB | 241.7 | 15.1 | 16 | QB3 | 1980s |
| Dan Marino | 1992 | QB | 235.2 | 14.7 | 16 | QB4 | 1990s |
| Dan Marino | 1994 | QB | 269.5 | 16.8 | 16 | QB2 | 1990s |
| Dan Marino | 1995 | QB | 214.1 | 15.3 | 14 | QB6 | 1990s |
| Bob Griese | 1971 | QB | 149.8 | 10.7 | 14 | — | 1970s |
| Bob Griese | 1977 | QB | 155.1 | 11.1 | 14 | — | 1970s |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 2022 | QB | 232.9 | 17.9 | 13 | QB13 | 2020s |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 2023 | QB | 280.4 | 16.5 | 17 | QB8 | 2020s |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 2024 | QB | 180.1 | 16.4 | 11 | QB22 | 2020s |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 2025 | QB | 160.5 | 11.5 | 14 | QB24 | 2020s |
| Ryan Tannehill | 2014 | QB | 282.9 | 17.7 | 16 | QB8 | 2010s |
| Ryan Tannehill | 2015 | QB | 260.4 | 16.3 | 16 | QB13 | 2010s |
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Best fantasy seasons in franchise history
Half-PPR scoring — top 10 in dataset
Draft-day value: ADP vs. actual finish
Positional rank — lower is better. Big gaps to the left of ADP were league-winners.
Best Dolphin fantasy season by position, by decade
Half-PPR scoring — the positional ceiling each era produced (within dataset)